默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Spalding United FC v Alvechurch FC

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Spalding United FC (主队)

预测 57.08%1.75公平赔率
EV -5.25%
优势 -3.16%
Kelly -7.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
54.05%57.08%57.08%59.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.591.651.661.6662.89%60.63%60.24%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alvechurch FC (客队)

预测 19.41%5.15公平赔率
EV +1.91%
优势 +0.364%
Kelly +0.450%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 5.25

博彩公司预测分布
18.11%19.41%19.41%21.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.324.205.2523.81%23.14%23.81%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.51%4.25公平赔率
EV +1.10%
优势 +0.256%
Kelly +0.334%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
22.11%23.51%23.51%25.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.693.654.3027.78%27.08%27.40%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Spalding United FC (主队):57.08%;Alvechurch FC (客队):19.41%;平局:23.51%。 对于“Alvechurch FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.15。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.25,由此产生+1.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -9.25%E -5.82%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +1.91%E +0.364%K +0.450%G +0.009%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.10%E +0.256%K +0.334%G +0.004%5.2%2026-10-15 13:39
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.28%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 19.54%EV -9.93%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-15 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-15 10:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -15.95%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-15 11:55
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -18.47%E -4.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.18%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 10:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。