The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Southend United v Berkhamsted FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Southend United 1–2 Berkhamsted FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southend United (Local)

Prediction 70.35%1.42fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -12.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.49%70.14%70.08%71.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.96%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Berkhamsted FC (Visit)

Prediction 11.95%8.37fair odd
EV +9.96%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 9.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.80%11.90%12.30%14.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.046.509.2016.00%14.21%15.38%10.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.70%5.65fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.371%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%17.96%17.63%20.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.055.105.7523.09%19.81%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southend United (Local): 70.35%; Berkhamsted FC (Visit): 11.95%; Draw: 17.70%. For Berkhamsted FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.37. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.92%EV -9.25%E -7.17%K -31.89%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.80%EV +9.96%E +1.08%K +1.21%G +0.121%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.27%EV -21.25%E -4.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-16 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +1.59%E +0.187%K +0.212%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.09%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 15:44
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +1.59%E +0.187%K +0.212%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.09%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 16:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV +1.59%E +0.187%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -23.37%E -5.40%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.53%EV -9.95%E -7.77%K -35.54%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.03%EV -0.799%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.09%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:25
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.53%EV -9.95%E -7.77%K -35.54%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.03%EV -0.799%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.09%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.29%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.37%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -2.66%E -0.484%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.36%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.76%E +0.306%K +0.371%G +0.007%5.9%2026-10-17 08:44
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -10.36%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.28%E -2.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 12:59
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -9.25%E -7.17%K -31.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -10.36%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -18.59%E -4.04%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-17 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.10%EV -5.03%E -3.72%K -14.36%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -13.95%E -1.94%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -7.97%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 08:44
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.25%E -7.17%K -31.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -16.34%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.51%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.86%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -22.31%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -6.20%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 08:39
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -22.31%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.05%E -3.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -22.31%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.05%E -3.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 08:45
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -22.31%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.05%E -3.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -22.31%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.05%E -3.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 08:45
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:24
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:20
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -25.30%E -4.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.