The School of Odds
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Sholing FC v SE Dons FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Sholing FC 2–0 SE Dons FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sholing FC (Local)

Prediction 55.43%1.80fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -9.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.07%55.22%55.54%56.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.80%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SE Dons FC (Visit)

Prediction 23.45%4.26fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.72%23.58%23.45%25.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.77%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.12%4.74fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.29%21.20%21.01%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.314.354.5025.00%23.21%22.99%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sholing FC (Local): 55.43%; SE Dons FC (Visit): 23.45%; Draw: 21.12%. For SE Dons FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -3.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.33%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:09
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -12.36%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 09:09
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.10%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -12.36%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 09:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -8.56%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -8.56%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -7.44%E -4.45%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -8.56%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 12:55
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -9.10%E -5.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 08:59
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.33%EV -10.21%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -10.25%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 09:00
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.17%EV -10.76%E -6.68%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 22.95%EV -7.59%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -8.56%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 12:55
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.55%EV -12.42%E -7.86%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.55%EV -12.42%E -7.86%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.55%EV -12.42%E -7.86%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 12:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.12%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-17 13:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.