The School of Odds
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Shepshed Dynamo FC v Romulus FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 13:59 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shepshed Dynamo FC (Local)

Prediction 64.37%1.55fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -8.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.24%64.37%64.37%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.491.4971.43%68.24%67.11%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Romulus FC (Visit)

Prediction 15.43%6.48fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.04%15.43%15.43%16.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.665.606.0518.87%17.67%17.86%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.20%4.95fair odd
EV -7.07%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.16%20.20%20.20%20.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.474.504.6023.26%22.35%22.22%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shepshed Dynamo FC (Local): 64.37%; Romulus FC (Visit): 15.43%; Draw: 20.20%. For Shepshed Dynamo FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.49, with an expected value of -4.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:30
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:30
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -4.09%E -2.74%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -13.61%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.31%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:54
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.31%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 04:28
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -7.31%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -18.24%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -13.13%E -3.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -7.31%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -18.24%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -13.13%E -3.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:30
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.52%EV -9.24%E -6.55%K -22.53%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.04%EV -6.67%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.44%EV -10.10%E -2.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.35%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.40%EV -9.75%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.25%EV -10.10%E -2.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 06:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.