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Sheppey United FC v Chertsey Town FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sheppey United FC (Local)
Prediction 23.45%4.27fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.67%23.51%23.19%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.773.804.1027.78%26.49%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chertsey Town FC (Visit)
Prediction 54.42%1.84fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -6.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.66%54.50%54.42%55.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.731.7560.98%58.47%57.80%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.13%4.52fair odd
EV +0.478%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.135%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%21.99%22.39%23.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.993.904.5426.67%25.07%25.64%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheppey United FC (Local): 23.45%; Chertsey Town FC (Visit): 54.42%; Draw: 22.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.478%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.99%EV +0.478%E +0.105%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:21 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -3.87%E -0.944%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -8.03%E -4.75%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -0.408%E -0.091%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -0.408%E -0.091%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.87%E -0.944%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 12:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 12:11 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -14.42%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.87%E -0.944%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 22.80%EV -8.09%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.51%EV -10.75%E -6.55%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 22.69%EV -12.80%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.69%E -3.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.18%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -17.01%E -4.54%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-03 12:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.