The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Salisbury FC v Eastbourne Borough FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Salisbury FC 3–0 Eastbourne Borough FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salisbury FC (Local)

Prediction 62.30%1.61fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -8.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.34%62.18%62.63%63.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5371.43%68.41%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastbourne Borough FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.72%5.34fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.539%
Kelly +0.658%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.94%18.85%18.25%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.884.905.5023.81%20.49%20.41%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.98%5.27fair odd
EV +6.27%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.54%18.96%19.11%21.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.594.405.6023.26%21.81%22.73%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salisbury FC (Local): 62.30%; Eastbourne Borough FC (Visit): 18.72%; Draw: 18.98%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.89%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +6.27%E +1.12%K +1.36%G +0.086%6.7%2026-10-16 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.31%EV -9.04%E -6.19%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -19.50%E -4.54%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +4.38%E +0.796%K +0.972%G +0.043%9.9%2026-10-16 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +2.96%E +0.539%K +0.658%G +0.019%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 12:40
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -15.76%E -3.50%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.55%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -21.37%E -5.09%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 09:12
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.22%EV -10.91%E -7.63%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 18.34%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-16 17:25
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -10.28%E -7.14%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -13.89%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -1.72%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 12:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -12.78%E -9.13%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -6.40%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-16 20:19
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.04%E -6.19%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.04%E -6.19%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.04%E -6.19%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:35
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:34
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -8.27%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.14%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -17.83%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 12:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.14%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -17.83%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 12:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.14%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -17.83%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.14%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -17.83%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -12.78%E -9.13%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -6.40%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -17.83%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-17 09:20
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV +1.09%E +0.202%K +0.248%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -18.40%E -4.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 12:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.79%E -5.27%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV +1.09%E +0.202%K +0.248%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -18.40%E -4.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.