Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salisbury FC v Dulwich Hamlet FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:01 UTC

Final: Salisbury FC 5–0 Dulwich Hamlet FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salisbury FC (Local)

Prediction 55.34%1.81fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -7.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.77%55.41%55.24%56.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.691.7162.11%59.81%59.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dulwich Hamlet FC (Visit)

Prediction 22.32%4.48fair odd
EV +0.419%
Edge +0.093%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.09%22.24%22.38%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.943.904.5026.67%25.39%25.64%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.34%4.48fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.24%22.35%22.38%23.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.973.884.3926.67%25.20%25.81%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salisbury FC (Local): 55.34%; Dulwich Hamlet FC (Visit): 22.32%; Draw: 22.34%. For Dulwich Hamlet FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.419%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +0.419%E +0.093%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -3.93%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 12:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.74%EV -1.92%E -0.437%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 12:51
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 12:41
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.88%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.88%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -8.51%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-03 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -3.93%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -3.26%E -0.752%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.74%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.69%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.69%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.69%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.69%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.03%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -14.09%E -3.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -3.93%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:30
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:31
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:31
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:31
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.