The School of Odds
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Redditch United FC v Berkhamsted FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC

Final: Redditch United FC 0–2 Berkhamsted FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Redditch United FC (Local)

Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.43%41.68%41.52%42.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.76%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Berkhamsted FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.67%3.16fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.13%31.74%31.50%33.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.822.803.0036.36%35.50%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.69%3.75fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.370%
Kelly +0.502%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%26.58%26.98%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.303.8031.25%29.40%30.30%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Redditch United FC (Local): 41.65%; Berkhamsted FC (Visit): 31.67%; Draw: 26.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -8.80%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +1.41%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007%6.5%2026-10-03 12:15
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -9.43%E -3.30%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV +1.14%E +0.301%K +0.408%G +0.005%4.8%2026-10-03 11:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -1.26%E -0.341%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.58%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 11:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 13:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.46%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.74%EV -6.71%E -3.00%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.01%EV -9.21%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 32.39%EV -12.60%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 26.61%EV -10.34%E -3.08%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.46%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.80%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:59
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:20
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:15
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -12.91%E -4.70%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-03 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.