The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oxford City FC v Enfield Town FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC

Final: Oxford City FC 6–1 Enfield Town FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford City FC (Local)

Prediction 61.40%1.63fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.79%61.16%61.35%63.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.67%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Enfield Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.53%5.40fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.87%18.71%18.55%20.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.794.705.2522.22%20.86%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.08%4.98fair odd
EV +0.792%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.74%20.14%20.10%22.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.444.355.0225.00%22.50%22.99%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oxford City FC (Local): 61.40%; Enfield Town FC (Visit): 18.53%; Draw: 20.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.792%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.31%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -5.52%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.99%EV +0.792%E +0.158%K +0.197%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV +0.390%E +0.078%K +0.098%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -2.74%E -0.523%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +0.390%E +0.078%K +0.098%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 13:50
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -16.64%E -3.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +0.390%E +0.078%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.82%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -2.74%E -0.523%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.04%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 13:55
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.37%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -7.29%E -4.83%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -3.67%E -0.706%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -11.08%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.05%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -7.37%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.08%EV -10.65%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:54
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -12.93%E -2.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.01%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.60%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -14.78%E -3.21%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -14.78%E -3.21%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -14.78%E -3.21%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -14.78%E -3.21%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -12.01%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-03 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.65%EV -6.68%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -16.68%E -4.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 13:55
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.65%EV -6.68%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -16.68%E -4.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.47%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.01%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -17.68%E -4.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.47%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.01%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -17.68%E -4.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 12:36
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -14.78%E -3.21%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -19.69%E -4.92%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.