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Needham Market FC v Stanway Rovers FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Needham Market FC (Local)
Prediction 57.97%1.73fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.16%57.98%57.97%60.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.531.6767.11%64.36%65.36%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stanway Rovers FC (Visit)
Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV +4.83%
Edge +0.878%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.11%19.13%19.06%21.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.644.505.5023.81%21.55%22.22%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.77%22.89%22.97%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.084.104.2026.67%24.50%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Needham Market FC (Local): 57.97%; Stanway Rovers FC (Visit): 19.06%; Draw: 22.97%. For Stanway Rovers FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +4.83%E +0.878%K +1.07%G +0.052% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -13.05%E -8.70%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.11%EV +1.40%E +0.263%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.51%EV -13.63%E -9.14%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.51%EV -1.84%E -0.358%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -12.32%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 09:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -12.32%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-08 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.31%E -7.39%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -16.14%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.52%E -0.839%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 09:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -19.95%E -4.75%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -3.52%E -0.839%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.