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Mulbarton Wanderers FC v Gloucester City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mulbarton Wanderers FC (Local)
Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -0.796%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.81%22.98%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.883.804.2626.67%25.74%26.32%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gloucester City FC (Visit)
Prediction 53.55%1.87fair odd
EV -6.28%
Edge -3.59%
Kelly -8.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.53%53.60%53.43%55.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.731.7560.98%58.25%57.80%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV -0.962%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.33%23.60%23.59%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.783.704.2027.78%26.44%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mulbarton Wanderers FC (Local): 22.87%; Gloucester City FC (Visit): 53.55%; Draw: 23.58%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.962%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.34%EV -2.59%E -0.609%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.01%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -0.962%E -0.229%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 12:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.97%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.54%EV -12.17%E -7.42%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 23.91%EV -11.81%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 11:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.25%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -6.25%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -10.56%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.75%E -3.45%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -6.25%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -10.56%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.75%E -3.45%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 12:11 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.962%E -0.229%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.83%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.39%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.39%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.39%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.39%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.11%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -13.93%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -14.26%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -10.56%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -15.11%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.