The School of Odds
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Milton Keynes Dons v Slimbridge AFC

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 18:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.98%50.07%50.07%50.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.851.9356.18%54.09%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Slimbridge AFC (Visit)

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%27.14%27.14%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.493.553.5529.85%28.66%28.17%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%22.79%22.79%24.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.984.004.1126.32%25.12%25.00%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 50.07%; Slimbridge AFC (Visit): 27.14%; Draw: 22.79%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -3.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.75%EV -7.17%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.09%EV -6.33%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:44
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -12.26%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 18:43
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 10:13
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 10:13
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:50
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:49
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.29%EV -10.38%E -5.80%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 22.85%EV -10.21%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 16:48
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -10.88%E -6.11%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.40%E -3.53%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -10.88%E -6.11%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.40%E -3.53%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.