Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town v Macclesfield Town

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

72%

11%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 72.02%1.39fair odd

EV -5.65%

Edge -4.31%

Kelly -18.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.46%71.99%72.12%73.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.281.291.3181.97%78.29%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Macclesfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 10.97%9.12fair odd

EV +4.20%

Edge +0.442%

Kelly +0.494%

Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.85%10.94%10.80%12.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.258.328.509.5013.79%12.02%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.01%5.88fair odd

EV -2.19%

Edge -0.381%

Kelly -0.461%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.72%17.07%17.08%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.235.005.7520.00%19.14%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mansfield Town (Local): 72.02%; Macclesfield Town (Visit): 10.97%; Draw: 17.01%. For Macclesfield Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.12. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +4.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.81%E -6.10%K -27.90%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +4.20%E +0.442%K +0.494%G +0.021%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 23:30
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.47%EV -5.65%E -4.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.26%EV +1.46%E +0.157%K +0.177%G +0.003%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 23:35
1xBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.70I 11.49%NM 10.74%EV -4.58%E -0.526%K -0.594%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 16.83%EV -5.59%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 01:05
William Hill🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -6.77%E -0.796%K -0.903%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-10-31 23:30
888sport🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -6.77%E -0.796%K -0.903%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-10-31 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -6.77%E -0.796%K -0.903%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-10-31 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -6.77%E -0.796%K -0.903%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-10-31 23:34
Bet Victor🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.97%E -7.98%K -39.89%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -6.77%E -0.796%K -0.903%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-10-31 23:30
betfred_uk🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.97%E -7.98%K -39.89%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -6.77%E -0.796%K -0.903%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-10-31 23:35
betano_uk🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.97%E -7.98%K -39.89%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -6.77%E -0.796%K -0.903%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-10-31 23:34
Pinnacle🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.88%EV -6.37%E -4.90%K -21.24%G +0.000%	8.05I 12.42%NM 11.61%EV -11.71%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%	5.66I 17.67%NM 16.51%EV -3.72%E -0.657%K -0.799%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-31 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -12.25%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -2.19%E -0.381%K -0.461%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-01 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.25%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-31 23:30
Neds🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.09%E -5.50%K -24.46%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.25%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-31 23:35
Coral🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.81%E -6.10%K -27.90%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -12.25%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-31 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.81%E -6.10%K -27.90%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -12.25%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.95%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-31 23:35
Betway🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.97%E -7.98%K -39.89%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -17.74%E -2.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.44%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-11-01 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 72.14%EV -12.13%E -9.95%K -55.15%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.14%EV -20.48%E -2.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -4.74%E -0.847%K -1.03%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-10-31 23:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.