The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Macclesfield Town v Anstey Nomads FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Macclesfield Town 1–1 Anstey Nomads FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Macclesfield Town (Local)

Prediction 64.50%1.55fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -9.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.44%64.83%64.29%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.451.4873.53%69.74%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anstey Nomads FC (Visit)

Prediction 16.72%5.98fair odd
EV +8.68%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.137%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.29%16.46%16.81%18.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.295.006.5020.00%18.90%20.00%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.78%5.32fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.330%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.39%18.71%18.90%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.594.505.2523.09%21.77%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macclesfield Town (Local): 64.50%; Anstey Nomads FC (Visit): 16.72%; Draw: 18.78%. For Anstey Nomads FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.98. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +8.68%E +1.34%K +1.58%G +0.137%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 12:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +8.68%E +1.34%K +1.58%G +0.137%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.28%E -9.03%K -34.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV +0.318%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -18.68%E -4.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-17 13:10
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -10.99%E -7.96%K -28.92%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 15.64%EV -3.36%E -0.581%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.86%E -0.672%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:09
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -12.28%E -9.03%K -34.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 13:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -9.71%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.34%E -0.450%K -0.558%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 22:10
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.06%EV -9.06%E -6.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -9.71%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 12:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.22%EV -8.41%E -5.92%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.34%E -0.450%K -0.558%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-16 21:55
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.44%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-16 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.44%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-16 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.44%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-16 17:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.12%E -4.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.12%E -4.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 08:19
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.12%E -4.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.12%E -4.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 08:19
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:10
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:10
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -18.31%E -4.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.