The School of Odds
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Liversedge FC v Ossett United FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-21 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liversedge FC (Local)

Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV -0.130%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.133%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.46%50.44%50.44%50.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.921.971.9855.87%52.12%50.76%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ossett United FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%24.20%24.20%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.453.9030.30%28.48%28.99%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV -8.70%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%25.36%25.36%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.533.553.6029.41%28.30%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liversedge FC (Local): 50.44%; Ossett United FC (Visit): 24.20%; Draw: 25.36%. For Liversedge FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.983. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.980, with an expected value of -0.130%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -0.130%E -0.066%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -0.635%E -0.322%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -0.635%E -0.322%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:19
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -0.635%E -0.322%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:19
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -0.635%E -0.322%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -0.635%E -0.322%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:19
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -0.635%E -0.322%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -0.635%E -0.322%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -16.51%E -4.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -20.14%E -6.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.77%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -20.14%E -6.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.77%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -20.14%E -6.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.77%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 17:19
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 18:20
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.23%EV -8.71%E -4.81%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.51%EV -10.22%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 09:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -9.71%E -5.43%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 09:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.