The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Leiston FC v Coventry United FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC

Final: Leiston FC 3–1 Coventry United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leiston FC (Local)

Prediction 54.93%1.82fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.54%54.94%55.03%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.631.7462.50%60.57%61.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coventry United FC (Visit)

Prediction 22.33%4.48fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%22.51%22.17%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.973.854.3026.32%25.21%25.97%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.74%4.40fair odd
EV +3.48%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +0.981%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.50%22.55%22.81%23.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.104.5526.67%24.67%24.39%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leiston FC (Local): 54.93%; Coventry United FC (Visit): 22.33%; Draw: 22.74%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.59%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -4.89%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.48%E +0.766%K +0.981%G +0.034%5.0%2026-10-03 11:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -15.16%E -3.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +2.35%E +0.521%K +0.670%G +0.016%8.4%2026-10-03 12:15
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -1.52%E -0.351%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.72%E -4.59%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.23%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.00%E -0.929%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.23%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -8.82%E -5.31%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -11.81%E -2.99%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -10.46%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -14.04%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.49%EV -11.56%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.06%EV -9.58%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.45%EV -9.48%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.16%E -3.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.16%E -3.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.16%E -3.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.16%E -3.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.39%EV -11.56%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.39%EV -11.56%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 11:15
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%EV -7.72%E -4.59%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.44%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 13:31
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%EV -7.72%E -4.59%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.44%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 13:31
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.98%EV -11.01%E -6.80%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -15.16%E -3.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -13.57%E -3.57%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -12.11%E -7.57%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -14.71%E -3.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.