The School of Odds
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Leatherhead FC v Yeovil Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Leatherhead FC 3–3 Yeovil Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leatherhead FC (Local)

Prediction 15.98%6.26fair odd
EV +19.88%
Edge +2.65%
Kelly +3.06%
Growth +0.608%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.40%15.98%15.97%18.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.404.907.5020.83%18.51%20.41%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yeovil Town (Visit)

Prediction 64.99%1.54fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.23%65.08%64.85%69.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.421.431.4876.92%70.66%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.03%5.26fair odd
EV +4.64%
Edge +0.844%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.69%18.93%19.18%20.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.754.605.5022.99%21.07%21.74%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leatherhead FC (Local): 15.98%; Yeovil Town (Visit): 64.99%; Draw: 19.03%. For Leatherhead FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.26. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +19.88%E +2.65%K +3.06%G +0.608%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -13.56%E -10.20%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -0.113%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:55
1xBet🎯7.01I 14.27%NM 12.90%EV +12.04%E +1.72%K +2.00%G +0.241%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.55%EV -15.51%E -11.93%K -51.71%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.56%EV -2.02%E -0.391%K -0.486%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 13:55
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +3.89%E +0.599%K +0.708%G +0.028%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:53
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.683%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -12.26%E -9.08%K -35.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV +4.64%E +0.844%K +1.03%G +0.048%8.9%2026-10-17 13:54
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -4.10%E -0.683%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -13.56%E -10.20%K -41.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 13:55
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -5.70%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.40%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 10:34
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -5.70%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.40%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -7.30%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.10%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.113%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:54
Bovada🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -10.49%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.89%EV -8.36%E -5.93%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -12.09%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.11%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.60%EV -17.24%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 17:25
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.09%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -11.61%E -8.54%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 10:19
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -13.69%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.30%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-16 17:25
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -16.09%E -3.06%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -3.81%E -2.58%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.113%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-15 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:55
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:55
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:55
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -21.68%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.39%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -23.28%E -4.85%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -23.28%E -4.85%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -23.28%E -4.85%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:54
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -23.28%E -4.85%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.