The School of Odds
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Kingstonian FC v Hastings United FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:51 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kingstonian FC (Local)

Prediction 40.79%2.45fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.27%40.79%40.79%46.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.082.002.3852.08%48.19%50.00%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hastings United FC (Visit)

Prediction 34.86%2.87fair odd
EV +11.55%
Edge +3.61%
Kelly +5.25%
Growth +0.606%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.96%34.86%34.86%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.623.013.203.2038.17%33.19%31.25%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.35%4.11fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.33%24.35%24.35%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.733.753.8927.78%26.78%26.67%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kingstonian FC (Local): 40.79%; Hastings United FC (Visit): 34.86%; Draw: 24.35%. For Hastings United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -18.43%E -9.21%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV +11.55%E +3.61%K +5.25%G +0.606%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.24%EV -21.69%E -11.30%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV +6.32%E +2.07%K +3.08%G +0.195%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-07 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.24%EV -21.69%E -11.30%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV +6.32%E +2.07%K +3.08%G +0.195%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-07 18:50
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.29%EV -1.35%E -0.477%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.94%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 18:44
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:46
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:46
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.30%EV -11.09%E -5.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.89%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 16:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.