The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kidderminster Harriers FC v Solihull Moors FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Kidderminster Harriers FC 2–1 Solihull Moors FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kidderminster Harriers FC (Local)

Prediction 48.54%2.06fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.15%48.58%48.44%49.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.952.0055.56%51.92%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Solihull Moors FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -0.904%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%26.33%26.43%29.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.253.7032.79%30.49%30.77%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.09%3.99fair odd
EV +0.360%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.65%25.09%25.13%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.504.0029.41%28.14%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kidderminster Harriers FC (Local): 48.54%; Solihull Moors FC (Visit): 26.37%; Draw: 25.09%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.360%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +0.360%E +0.090%K +0.120%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -11.17%E -6.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.66%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -6.80%E -3.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.40%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.71%E -5.22%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -2.91%E -1.46%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.17%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:49
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.84%EV -8.25%E -4.37%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.32%EV -12.72%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.84%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.20%E -5.51%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.44%E -0.660%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.68%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.20%E -5.51%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.44%E -0.660%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.68%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 13:45
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -8.74%E -4.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.68%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -10.20%E -5.51%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.68%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:39
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.91%E -1.46%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.91%E -1.46%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.62%E -7.01%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -4.37%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -19.58%E -6.42%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -11.17%E -6.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.