The School of Odds
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Kidderminster Harriers FC v Doncaster Rovers

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kidderminster Harriers FC (Local)

Prediction 23.52%4.25fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.375%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.27%23.47%23.52%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.804.2027.78%26.00%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 51.91%1.93fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.85%51.90%51.91%53.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.761.751.8360.98%56.95%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.16%24.63%24.57%25.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.663.603.9028.57%27.30%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kidderminster Harriers FC (Local): 23.52%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 51.91%; Draw: 24.57%. For Kidderminster Harriers FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -1.20%E -0.286%K -0.375%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.41%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.55%E -0.867%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 23:30
Pinnacle🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.44%EV -5.67%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.21%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.35%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 23:30
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.01%E -2.74%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 23:35
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 23:30
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -11.76%E -6.92%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 23:35
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -8.73%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.05%E -3.34%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -5.66%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 23:34
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 23:30
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -14.87%E -9.07%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-31 23:30
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 23:30
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:30
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:35
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.16%E -5.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:35
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.32%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.20%E -5.90%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.87%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%13.3%2026-11-01 00:45