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Kettering Town FC v Wellingborough Town FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kettering Town FC (Local)
Prediction 53.00%1.89fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.68%52.86%53.00%53.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.701.671.8159.88%58.88%59.88%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wellingborough Town FC (Visit)
Prediction 22.72%4.40fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%22.82%22.72%23.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.983.954.2026.32%25.13%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.28%4.12fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.67%24.32%24.28%25.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.753.9028.57%26.66%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kettering Town FC (Local): 53.00%; Wellingborough Town FC (Visit): 22.72%; Draw: 24.28%. For Kettering Town FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -4.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.50%EV -9.59%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.81%EV -8.47%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.59%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.31%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.52%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.59%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 18:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.41%E -2.92%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -6.52%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.59%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.29%EV -10.42%E -6.17%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%EV -9.59%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.08%EV -9.19%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -8.95%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -9.13%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.02%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.