The School of Odds
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Havant and Waterlooville FC v Chippenham Town FC

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Havant and Waterlooville FC (Local)

Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd
EV +3.26%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%32.94%33.21%34.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.753.1038.46%36.30%36.36%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chippenham Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 41.51%2.41fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.80%41.44%41.56%42.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.192.172.3046.51%45.64%46.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.19%3.97fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.62%25.24%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.453.8030.30%28.36%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Havant and Waterlooville FC (Local): 33.31%; Chippenham Town FC (Visit): 41.51%; Draw: 25.19%. For Havant and Waterlooville FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +3.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV +3.26%E +1.05%K +1.55%G +0.051%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 07:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.18%EV -7.86%E -3.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 07:15
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 11:21
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.76%E -5.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 07:15
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:14
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 07:20
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.40%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.85%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.10%EV -12.06%E -4.57%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.30%EV -9.52%E -4.37%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 14:04
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.73%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 11:15
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -16.89%E -5.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 11:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.