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Havant and Waterlooville FC v Chippenham Town FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Havant and Waterlooville FC (Local)
Prediction 32.61%3.07fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.86%32.36%32.71%36.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.702.9040.00%36.46%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chippenham Town FC (Visit)
Prediction 42.49%2.35fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.115%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.98%42.39%42.27%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3550.00%45.74%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.91%4.02fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.550%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.85%25.25%25.02%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.453.9530.30%28.15%28.99%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Havant and Waterlooville FC (Local): 32.61%; Chippenham Town FC (Visit): 42.49%; Draw: 24.91%. For Chippenham Town FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.354. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.350, with an expected value of -0.156%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -0.156%E -0.066%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -15.03%E -7.51%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 07:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.18%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 07:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 18:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.38%EV -8.37%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.54%EV -11.20%E -5.36%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.07%EV -5.86%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 32.64%EV -10.00%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.52%EV -12.05%E -5.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.83%EV -5.86%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 18:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -17.81%E -5.40%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -18.48%E -7.39%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.03%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -1.62%E -0.411%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.