默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hartlepool United FC v Marine FC

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hartlepool United FC (主队)

预测 61.24%1.63公平赔率
EV -6.31%
优势 -4.12%
Kelly -11.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
60.05%61.44%61.17%63.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.461.451.5369.44%68.49%68.97%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Marine FC (客队)

预测 17.47%5.72公平赔率
EV +4.85%
优势 +0.808%
Kelly +0.970%
增长率 +0.047%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.79%17.26%17.62%18.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.275.256.0020.83%18.97%19.05%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.29%4.70公平赔率
EV -4.20%
优势 -0.932%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.81%21.29%21.22%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.154.294.304.5024.10%23.33%23.26%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Hartlepool United FC (主队):61.24%;Marine FC (客队):17.47%;平局:21.29%。 对于“Marine FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.72。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.00,由此产生+4.85%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +4.85%E +0.808%K +0.970%G +0.047%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.20%E -0.932%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 10:54
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -11.21%E -7.73%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.03%EV -1.62%E -0.287%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.74%EV -11.65%E -2.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -9.37%E -6.33%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -5.64%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 10:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -9.37%E -6.33%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -5.64%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 10:54
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -11.21%E -7.73%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -11.21%E -7.73%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-15 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -11.21%E -7.73%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.26%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -9.13%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 10:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 10:54
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-15 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -8.76%E -5.88%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.12%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 10:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。