Language:English
Harborough Town FC v St Albans City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harborough Town FC (Local)
Prediction 49.85%2.01fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.83%49.78%49.99%51.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.9657.80%55.45%55.56%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Albans City FC (Visit)
Prediction 26.42%3.78fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%26.68%26.05%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.453.453.6531.45%28.97%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.629%
Kelly +0.818%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%23.54%23.96%24.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.854.3327.78%25.78%25.97%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harborough Town FC (Local): 49.85%; St Albans City FC (Visit): 26.42%; Draw: 23.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.29%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV +2.72%E +0.629%K +0.818%G +0.022% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.68%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV +1.06%E +0.250%K +0.326%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -3.56%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.56%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.26%E -6.96%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -15.98%E -5.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.04%EV -11.75%E -3.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.75%E -7.95%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.