The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gloucester City FC v Barrow AFC

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Gloucester City FC 0–2 Barrow AFC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gloucester City FC (Local)

Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV -0.916%
Edge -0.235%
Kelly -0.316%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%25.42%25.44%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.483.9030.30%28.61%28.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barrow AFC (Visit)

Prediction 51.12%1.96fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%51.04%51.06%52.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.8857.80%54.83%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%23.54%23.49%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.704.1028.57%27.20%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gloucester City FC (Local): 25.41%; Barrow AFC (Visit): 51.12%; Draw: 23.47%. For Gloucester City FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -0.916%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -0.916%E -0.235%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.53%E -6.02%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 09:15
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -0.916%E -0.235%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.53%E -6.02%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 09:15
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -10.02%E -5.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 06:30
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 06:30
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 06:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.78%E -0.921%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 06:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 07:50
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.23%EV -10.02%E -5.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 07:49
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -10.53%E -6.02%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-20 06:30
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.55%E -6.68%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-20 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -10.02%E -5.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -3.78%E -0.921%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 10:54
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:30
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:30
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:30
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:30
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:26
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 06:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.89%E -4.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 10:34
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -16.16%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-20 07:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.