Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gainsborough Trinity FC v Leamington FC

2026-09-22 18:45 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gainsborough Trinity FC (Local)

Prediction 50.26%1.99fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -3.22%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.65%50.28%50.20%51.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.781.8757.80%55.96%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leamington FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.44%4.09fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.557%
Kelly -0.743%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.62%24.43%24.57%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.643.604.0028.57%27.49%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.30%3.95fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%25.29%25.23%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.593.603.8028.57%27.84%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gainsborough Trinity FC (Local): 50.26%; Leamington FC (Visit): 24.44%; Draw: 25.30%. For Leamington FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -2.23%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -6.02%E -3.22%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -2.23%E -0.557%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -6.52%E -3.51%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -7.65%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-21 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 22:29
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.54%EV -10.04%E -5.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.62%EV -6.38%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 22:28
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -11.04%E -6.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 23.91%EV -8.58%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-21 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.05%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.45%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-21 22:29
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.45%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-21 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.