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Gainsborough Trinity FC v Leamington FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gainsborough Trinity FC (Local)
Prediction 49.68%2.01fair odd
EV -0.641%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%49.84%49.74%51.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.911.902.0057.80%52.40%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leamington FC (Visit)
Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV -0.441%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.149%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%25.10%25.19%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.503.9533.33%29.60%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.12%3.98fair odd
EV +0.462%
Edge +0.115%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.71%25.06%25.07%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.583.504.0028.99%27.90%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gainsborough Trinity FC (Local): 49.68%; Leamington FC (Visit): 25.20%; Draw: 25.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.462%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV +0.462%E +0.115%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 10.1% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-22 17:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.09%E -4.37%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-22 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.09%E -4.37%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-22 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.64%EV -9.58%E -5.27%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.28%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -7.60%E -4.08%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.42%EV -10.08%E -5.57%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.00%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 24.57%EV -8.58%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-22 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.09%E -4.37%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -0.641%E -0.320%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -24.39%E -8.13%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -14.05%E -8.12%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-22 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -8.09%E -4.37%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.441%E -0.112%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -8.09%E -4.37%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.441%E -0.112%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.