The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gainsborough Trinity FC v Anstey Nomads FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:59 UTC

Final: Gainsborough Trinity FC 2–3 Anstey Nomads FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gainsborough Trinity FC (Local)

Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.09%43.75%43.57%45.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.132.2050.00%46.98%47.06%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anstey Nomads FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.17%3.21fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.579%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.57%31.09%31.27%32.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.803.1536.36%34.99%35.71%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +0.673%
Kelly +0.891%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%25.16%25.16%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.604.0829.41%27.88%27.78%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gainsborough Trinity FC (Local): 43.65%; Anstey Nomads FC (Visit): 31.17%; Draw: 25.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -7.02%E -3.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.95%EV -7.12%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.34%EV +2.75%E +0.673%K +0.891%G +0.024%5.0%2026-10-03 11:15
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.35%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -1.82%E -0.579%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.79%E -0.458%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 12:00
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.05%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -1.79%E -0.458%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -3.05%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 13:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -5.28%E -2.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.46%E -3.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 11:25
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.46%E -3.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.28%EV -11.83%E -5.85%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 30.74%EV -9.30%E -3.20%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -9.85%E -2.75%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:08
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -14.29%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.