The School of Odds
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FC Halifax Town v South Shields FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: FC Halifax Town 3–2 South Shields FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Halifax Town (Local)

Prediction 45.20%2.21fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.28%44.96%45.50%50.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.942.002.1556.50%51.67%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Shields FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV +5.76%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.133%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.57%30.49%29.77%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.193.123.5035.71%31.36%32.05%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -0.982%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.56%24.73%25.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.753.9528.57%27.04%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Halifax Town (Local): 45.20%; South Shields FC (Visit): 30.22%; Draw: 24.58%. For South Shields FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:40
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -20.00%E -11.30%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV +5.76%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.133%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -9.04%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.58%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.58%EV -9.15%E -4.55%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -2.90%E -0.733%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.38%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -5.72%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 13:54
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.04%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.86%E -6.08%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 13:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.86%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -10.27%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:50
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.10%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.07%EV -12.07%E -4.15%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.84%EV -10.52%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.76%EV -11.86%E -6.08%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-17 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.88%E -4.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -2.90%E -0.733%K -0.982%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -13.88%E -4.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -15.39%E -5.50%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -15.39%E -5.50%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -15.39%E -5.50%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.58%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.