The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Farnborough FC v Uxbridge FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Farnborough FC (Local)

Prediction 53.61%1.87fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -6.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.40%53.69%53.35%56.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.701.7763.69%59.64%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Uxbridge FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV +0.675%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.218%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%24.52%24.72%26.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.873.954.1029.41%25.84%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%21.79%21.93%22.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.164.074.5025.00%24.04%24.54%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Farnborough FC (Local): 53.61%; Uxbridge FC (Visit): 24.55%; Draw: 21.83%. For Uxbridge FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.675%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +0.675%E +0.165%K +0.218%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 17:59
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +0.675%E +0.165%K +0.218%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 17:55
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:10
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.15%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -15.83%E -10.08%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -1.78%E -0.445%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-22 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -3.01%E -0.761%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -11.58%E -2.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 16:55
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -3.01%E -0.761%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -11.58%E -2.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.24%EV -12.61%E -7.74%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -3.01%E -0.761%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 18:00
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -7.78%E -4.53%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.24%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.94%E -0.896%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-22 17:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -6.69%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.13%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 18:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.69%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.94%E -0.896%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.69%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.94%E -0.896%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-22 17:55
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.69%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.69%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.69%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.92%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-22 16:55
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.21%EV -10.46%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.74%EV -10.13%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -6.13%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-22 17:56
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.60%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -1.76%E -0.391%K -0.503%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -14.06%E -4.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -7.22%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-22 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -15.29%E -4.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -1.76%E -0.391%K -0.503%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 17:55
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -16.51%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-22 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.