The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ebbsfleet United FC v Sholing FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:01 UTC

Final: Ebbsfleet United FC 1–2 Sholing FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ebbsfleet United FC (Local)

Prediction 67.67%1.48fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -11.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.23%67.65%67.78%69.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4176.92%73.94%74.07%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sholing FC (Visit)

Prediction 14.03%7.13fair odd
EV +5.22%
Edge +0.695%
Kelly +0.802%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.91%14.18%14.06%17.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.246.007.5018.18%16.03%16.67%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.30%5.46fair odd
EV +5.24%
Edge +0.912%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.33%18.17%18.17%19.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.005.005.7521.74%19.99%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ebbsfleet United FC (Local): 67.67%; Sholing FC (Visit): 14.03%; Draw: 18.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -4.59%E -3.25%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -22.84%E -4.15%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +5.24%E +0.912%K +1.10%G +0.058%6.5%2026-10-03 14:00
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.669%E +0.122%K +0.149%G +0.001%7.1%2026-10-03 14:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -5.31%E -0.786%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -1.16%E -0.215%K -0.264%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 13:55
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.18%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.08%EV +2.41%E +0.330%K +0.382%G +0.009%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.74%EV -1.53%E -0.284%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -3.91%E -0.744%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV -5.31%E -0.786%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.91%E -0.744%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:51
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.22%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -4.82%E -0.927%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.02%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -17.23%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -4.82%E -0.927%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -15.83%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -12.14%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-03 12:50
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -15.83%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -12.14%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-03 12:50
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -15.83%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -12.14%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-03 12:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -15.83%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -12.14%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-03 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.26%EV -8.65%E -6.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.83%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -13.06%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.03%E -9.26%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -13.06%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-03 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23%EV -10.00%E -7.52%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.55%EV -7.41%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.23%EV -14.89%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 13:39
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -12.03%E -9.26%K -40.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV +5.22%E +0.695%K +0.802%G +0.042%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.80%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -12.03%E -9.26%K -40.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV +5.22%E +0.695%K +0.802%G +0.042%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.80%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -12.03%E -9.26%K -40.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -15.80%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.