The School of Odds
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Eastleigh FC v Brentwood Town FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Eastleigh FC 3–2 Brentwood Town FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastleigh FC (Local)

Prediction 68.02%1.47fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -11.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.86%68.05%68.06%74.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.291.291.4082.64%77.82%77.22%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brentwood Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 14.62%6.84fair odd
EV +16.94%
Edge +2.12%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.410%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.21%14.60%14.69%16.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.027.018.0018.18%14.25%14.27%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.36%5.76fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +0.966%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%17.35%17.25%19.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.595.756.1021.74%17.89%17.39%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastleigh FC (Local): 68.02%; Brentwood Town FC (Visit): 14.62%; Draw: 17.36%. For Brentwood Town FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.84. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.10%EV -17.69%E -14.62%K -84.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV +16.94%E +2.12%K +2.42%G +0.410%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV +5.89%E +0.966%K +1.15%G +0.068%11.5%2026-10-15 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.37%EV -8.85%E -6.60%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.55%EV +6.71%E +0.919%K +1.07%G +0.071%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -16.68%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 01:14
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.37%EV -8.85%E -6.60%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.55%EV +6.71%E +0.919%K +1.07%G +0.071%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -16.68%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 01:15
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.10%EV -12.25%E -9.50%K -42.24%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 13.46%EV -1.77%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.53%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.81%E -4.97%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -3.52%E -0.534%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 02:14
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -12.25%E -9.50%K -42.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -4.98%E -0.767%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-17 13:10
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -11.57%E -8.90%K -38.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -4.98%E -0.767%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -20.15%E -4.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 12:55
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -11.57%E -8.90%K -38.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -4.98%E -0.767%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -20.15%E -4.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.14%EV -4.77%E -3.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV -8.64%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -0.185%E -0.032%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.29%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +4.15%E +0.692%K +0.831%G +0.035%6.9%2026-10-17 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.29%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -8.00%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 02:10
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.68%EV -9.53%E -7.16%K -28.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.29%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -15.95%E -2.77%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -15.95%E -2.77%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:30
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -15.95%E -2.77%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:30
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -19.60%E -3.56%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -0.185%E -0.032%K -0.039%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.