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Dorking Wanderers FC v Chatham Town FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dorking Wanderers FC (Local)
Prediction 67.11%1.49fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -9.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.08%66.93%66.80%69.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.331.4376.34%74.29%75.19%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chatham Town FC (Visit)
Prediction 15.09%6.63fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +0.808%
Kelly +0.943%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.64%15.54%15.07%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.506.056.257.0022.22%16.54%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.79%5.62fair odd
EV +6.76%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.091%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.97%17.53%18.12%19.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.125.206.0022.22%19.53%19.23%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dorking Wanderers FC (Local): 67.11%; Chatham Town FC (Visit): 15.09%; Draw: 17.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -32.08%E -7.13%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV +6.76%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.091% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.89%E -0.291%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +2.31%E +0.401%K +0.486%G +0.011% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +5.66%E +0.808%K +0.943%G +0.053% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.20%EV -1.25%E -0.225%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 13:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.72%EV -8.05%E -5.88%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -13.97%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -5.70%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -4.03%E -2.82%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -6.59%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.05%EV -6.71%E -4.83%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -6.42%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -11.41%E -8.64%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -5.66%E -0.906%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.48%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.13%EV -8.05%E -5.88%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -13.21%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.04%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.28%EV -12.08%E -9.22%K -38.97%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 13.66%EV -1.14%E -0.174%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.07%EV -11.93%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -16.98%E -3.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 13:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -16.98%E -3.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -16.98%E -3.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -16.98%E -3.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.74%E -8.07%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -18.15%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.74%E -8.07%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -18.15%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-03 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -10.74%E -8.07%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -19.93%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-03 13:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.