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Dagenham and Redbridge FC v Waltham Abbey FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dagenham and Redbridge FC (Local)
Prediction 65.13%1.54fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.45%64.97%64.89%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.371.5275.76%72.90%72.99%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waltham Abbey FC (Visit)
Prediction 15.49%6.45fair odd
EV +0.699%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.127%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.17%15.69%15.59%18.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.985.996.256.5020.08%16.69%16.00%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.38%5.16fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.334%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.48%19.34%19.52%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.865.055.2523.26%20.57%19.80%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dagenham and Redbridge FC (Local): 65.13%; Waltham Abbey FC (Visit): 15.49%; Draw: 19.38%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.17%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -22.54%E -4.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV +1.75%E +0.334%K +0.413%G +0.007% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -14.03%E -10.63%K -43.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.09%E -0.618%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -13.24%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.09%E -0.618%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.87%E -4.80%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.95%E -0.637%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.78%EV -10.13%E -7.34%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.40%EV -15.57%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -1.01%E -0.663%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 18.76%EV -22.85%E -4.59%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.79%EV -8.52%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +0.699%E +0.107%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 18:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +0.699%E +0.107%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -8.82%E -6.30%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.43%E -8.40%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -16.08%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-22 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.49%EV -2.40%E -0.381%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -16.66%E -3.87%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-22 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -7.52%E -5.30%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.49%EV -2.40%E -0.381%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -16.66%E -3.87%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-22 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.62%EV -10.13%E -7.34%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -22.54%E -4.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -16.66%E -3.87%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-22 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.