The School of Odds
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Crowborough Athletic FC v Wimborne Town FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC

Final: Crowborough Athletic FC 1–2 Wimborne Town FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crowborough Athletic FC (Local)

Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -0.956%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.33%21.89%22.13%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.204.324.4025.64%23.78%23.12%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimborne Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 56.88%1.76fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -7.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.52%57.07%56.72%58.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.561.6765.79%63.53%64.31%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.13%4.73fair odd
EV +0.380%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.101%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.46%21.03%21.15%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.264.254.7525.00%23.49%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crowborough Athletic FC (Local): 21.99%; Wimborne Town FC (Visit): 56.88%; Draw: 21.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.380%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV +0.380%E +0.080%K +0.101%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 11:10
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 12:14
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -7.02%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -7.02%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -3.25%E -0.739%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -13.54%E -8.91%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 12:19
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.41%E -8.06%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.19%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-03 12:15
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-03 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 12:15
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 13:53
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 13:54
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-03 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.