The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cray Wanderers FC v Bedford Town FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Cray Wanderers FC 2–2 Bedford Town FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cray Wanderers FC (Local)

Prediction 35.83%2.79fair odd
EV -6.83%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.82%36.02%35.85%37.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.512.502.6041.67%39.77%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bedford Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 39.23%2.55fair odd
EV -5.85%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.24%39.16%39.32%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.332.4045.45%43.15%42.92%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.94%4.01fair odd
EV -0.255%
Edge -0.064%
Kelly -0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%24.82%24.83%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.454.0029.41%28.27%28.99%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cray Wanderers FC (Local): 35.83%; Bedford Town FC (Visit): 39.23%; Draw: 24.94%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.255%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -6.63%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-20 13:59
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -6.63%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-20 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%EV -11.73%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -2.75%E -0.705%K -0.948%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.73%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 06:30
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.98%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 14:07
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.23%EV -10.56%E -4.63%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.99%EV -10.73%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-20 06:30
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -8.60%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-20 08:36
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -10.41%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-20 18:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -0.255%E -0.064%K -0.085%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.