Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chesterfield FC v Yeovil Town

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

64%

15%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prediction 64.19%1.56fair odd

EV -5.00%

Edge -3.38%

Kelly -10.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.54%64.07%64.37%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.411.401.4874.63%70.81%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yeovil Town (Visit)

Prediction 15.05%6.64fair odd

EV +5.36%

Edge +0.766%

Kelly +0.894%

Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.57%15.23%14.92%17.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.006.056.007.0020.00%16.53%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.76%4.82fair odd

EV -0.342%

Edge -0.071%

Kelly -0.090%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.33%20.71%20.71%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.204.424.404.8023.81%22.62%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chesterfield FC (Local): 64.19%; Yeovil Town (Visit): 15.05%; Draw: 20.76%. For Yeovil Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.64. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +5.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +5.36%E +0.766%K +0.894%G +0.048%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.38%E -0.290%K -0.368%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 00:55
1xBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -9.50%E -6.74%K -23.17%G +0.000%	6.65I 15.04%NM 14.05%EV +0.095%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -1.38%E -0.290%K -0.368%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.43%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.16%E -0.333%K -0.393%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-01 00:55
Coolbet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.16%E -0.333%K -0.393%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-31 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-11-01 00:55
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-11-01 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-11-01 00:55
Neds🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-11-01 00:55
Bet Victor🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-11-01 01:03
betfred_uk🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-10-31 23:35
betano_uk🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-11-01 01:04
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-31 23:30
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-31 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-31 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.14%E -7.24%K -25.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.69%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-31 23:34
Pinnacle🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.43%G +0.000%	5.72I 17.48%NM 16.34%EV -13.90%E -2.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.56I 21.93%NM 20.50%EV -5.32%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-31 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 65.67%EV -13.99%E -10.44%K -41.15%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -17.21%E -3.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -0.342%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-10-31 23:30
Betway🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 61.54%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.40%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -24.74%E -4.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.61%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-31 23:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.