Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chesham United FC v Forest Green Rovers

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chesham United FC (Local)

Prediction 23.13%4.32fair odd
EV +4.08%
Edge +0.907%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%22.90%23.13%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.504.5028.57%27.03%28.57%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Forest Green Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 53.14%1.88fair odd
EV -7.00%
Edge -4.00%
Kelly -9.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.16%53.46%53.14%55.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.741.751.7558.82%57.45%57.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.73%4.21fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.878%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.21%23.64%23.73%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.873.854.1026.32%25.84%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chesham United FC (Local): 23.13%; Forest Green Rovers (Visit): 53.14%; Draw: 23.73%. For Chesham United FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +4.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV +4.08%E +0.907%K +1.17%G +0.048%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -9.12%E -5.34%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.72%E -0.664%K -0.878%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 10:54
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.73%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.43%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.47%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.47%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 10:55
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.59%E -5.00%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 12:14
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.59%E -5.00%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.95%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.47%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-15 10:55
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -13.26%E -3.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 10:54
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.