语言:简体中文
Carshalton Athletic FC v Chertsey Town FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Carshalton Athletic FC (主队)
预测 38.66%2.59公平赔率
EV -4.12%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -2.78%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
37.47%39.06%38.66%41.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.232.172.4846.51%44.81%46.08%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chertsey Town FC (客队)
预测 34.28%2.92公平赔率
EV -0.580%
优势 -0.200%
Kelly -0.305%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
31.35%34.13%34.28%35.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.772.852.9039.22%36.08%35.09%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.05%3.70公平赔率
EV +0.102%
优势 +0.028%
Kelly +0.038%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
25.18%26.81%27.05%27.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.353.253.7030.77%29.89%30.77%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Carshalton Athletic FC (主队)：38.66%；Chertsey Town FC (客队)：34.28%；平局：27.05%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.696。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.700，对应+0.102%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -9.14%E -3.89%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +0.102%E +0.028%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.15%EV -14.56%E -6.59%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.31%EV -6.41%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.54%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.11%EV -15.33%E -7.00%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.60%EV -8.12%E -3.03%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -4.12%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -12.58%E -4.93%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.14%E -3.89%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -0.580%E -0.200%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -16.88%E -7.85%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.58%E -4.93%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.17%EV -16.10%E -7.42%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。