The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cambridge City FC v Alvechurch FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge City FC (Local)

Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.06%28.79%28.65%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.093.103.3034.72%32.34%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alvechurch FC (Visit)

Prediction 46.97%2.13fair odd
EV -6.07%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.76%46.85%46.86%48.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.961.972.0053.19%50.97%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.39%4.10fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.633%
Kelly +0.830%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.66%24.36%24.49%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.654.2128.57%26.77%27.40%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cambridge City FC (Local): 28.65%; Alvechurch FC (Visit): 46.97%; Draw: 24.39%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.21, producing a positive expected value of +2.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.17%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.66%EV +2.66%E +0.633%K +0.830%G +0.022%4.8%2026-10-03 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.07%E -3.03%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 11:10
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.07%E -3.03%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -2.46%E -0.614%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 11:09
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.07%E -3.03%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.46%E -0.614%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -6.07%E -3.03%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:08
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -9.82%E -5.12%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.11%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.07%E -3.03%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.07%E -3.03%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.55%EV -11.70%E -6.22%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.32%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.17%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.32%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.17%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.30%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 13:05
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.80%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.37%EV -7.48%E -3.79%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.41%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -17.50%E -6.07%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.76%EV -8.41%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.