Language:English
Bury v Bromsgrove Sporting FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bury (Local)
Prediction 50.34%1.99fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%50.34%50.28%51.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.921.9256.82%53.27%52.08%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bromsgrove Sporting FC (Visit)
Prediction 25.02%4.00fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%25.09%24.97%28.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.153.8031.75%29.63%31.75%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.24%24.56%24.75%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.604.0028.57%27.16%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bury (Local): 50.34%; Bromsgrove Sporting FC (Visit): 25.02%; Draw: 24.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -21.19%E -6.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -2.66%E -0.675%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 12:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.41%E -6.48%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.69%EV -12.93%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.