The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Burton Albion v AFC Rushden and Diamonds

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prediction 83.08%1.20fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -3.87%
Kelly -29.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.11%82.97%83.05%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1593.46%89.79%90.09%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Visit)

Prediction 5.45%18.36fair odd
EV +3.49%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.194%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.84%5.54%5.44%6.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0016.3017.0019.007.69%6.13%5.88%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.47%8.72fair odd
EV +3.22%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.403%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.49%11.49%11.51%12.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.647.509.0014.29%13.09%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Burton Albion (Local): 83.08%; AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Visit): 5.45%; Draw: 11.47%. For AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.36. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 19.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.95%E -6.20%K -57.88%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -1.96%E -0.109%K -0.115%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +3.22%E +0.358%K +0.403%G +0.013%6.0%2026-10-31 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -6.95%E -6.20%K -57.88%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.60%EV -8.77%E -0.523%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.82I 11.34%NM 10.64%EV +1.16%E +0.131%K +0.148%G +0.002%6.6%2026-10-31 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.13%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.69%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -7.41%E -0.436%K -0.463%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV -2.51%E -0.295%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 23:35
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.37%EV -8.61%E -7.83%K -86.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -29.19%E -2.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -2.51%E -0.295%K -0.335%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 23:30
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.77%EV -7.78%E -7.01%K -70.70%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +0.764%E +0.041%K +0.044%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.20%EV -4.81%E -0.579%K -0.658%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.28%E -4.64%K -37.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -12.85%E -0.803%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -8.25%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.97%EV -6.12%E -5.41%K -47.04%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +3.49%E +0.184%K +0.194%G +0.007%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -11.11%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 23:30
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -7.78%E -7.01%K -70.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +3.49%E +0.184%K +0.194%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -13.98%E -1.86%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 23:30
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -7.78%E -7.01%K -70.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +3.49%E +0.184%K +0.194%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -13.98%E -1.86%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -7.78%E -7.01%K -70.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +3.49%E +0.184%K +0.194%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -13.98%E -1.86%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -7.78%E -7.01%K -70.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +3.49%E +0.184%K +0.194%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -13.98%E -1.86%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 81.87%EV -11.10%E -10.37%K -158.57%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.04%EV -21.02%E -1.45%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.08%EV -16.85%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -6.12%E -5.41%K -47.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -29.19%E -2.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 23:30
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -6.12%E -5.41%K -47.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -29.19%E -2.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 23:35
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -6.95%E -6.20%K -57.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -29.19%E -2.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -6.95%E -6.20%K -57.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -29.19%E -2.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -8.61%E -7.83%K -86.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -18.30%E -1.22%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.98%EV -9.44%E -8.66%K -104.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -7.41%E -0.436%K -0.463%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.98%EV -9.44%E -8.66%K -104.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -7.41%E -0.436%K -0.463%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.08I 92.59%NM 81.68%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.97%13.4%2026-10-31 23:45