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Brentwood Town FC v Concord Rangers FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brentwood Town FC (Local)
Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.60%59.71%60.17%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.571.6366.67%63.99%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Concord Rangers FC (Visit)
Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV +0.077%
Edge +0.015%
Kelly +0.018%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.18%19.08%19.06%21.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.464.255.2523.53%22.42%23.53%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.77%4.81fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.74%21.21%20.77%23.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.164.004.6025.00%24.03%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brentwood Town FC (Local): 60.17%; Concord Rangers FC (Visit): 19.06%; Draw: 20.77%. For Concord Rangers FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.246. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.077%.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.55%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV +0.077%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -14.83%E -3.62%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.69%E -0.938%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.45%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.45%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.52%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 16:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -4.45%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-08 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -10.06%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.92%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.26%EV -15.17%E -3.41%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -10.06%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.60%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.60%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.60%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.76%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -18.99%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -16.91%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.