The School of Odds
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Bradford City v Marine FC

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 75.36%1.33fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -15.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.32%75.31%75.20%77.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2783.33%81.48%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marine FC (Visit)

Prediction 8.76%11.41fair odd
EV +13.89%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.161%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%8.77%8.73%11.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.909.5013.0012.50%10.10%10.53%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.88%6.30fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +0.498%
Kelly +0.589%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.45%15.92%16.07%17.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.555.506.5020.00%18.03%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bradford City (Local): 75.36%; Marine FC (Visit): 8.76%; Draw: 15.88%. For Marine FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.41. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +13.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.28%EV -6.56%E -5.29%K -27.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +13.89%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 23:30
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.59%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.34%EV -1.88%E -0.168%K -0.184%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -1.53%E -0.246%K -0.294%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +3.24%E +0.498%K +0.589%G +0.019%6.4%2026-10-31 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.56%E -5.29%K -27.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.85%EV -8.82%E -7.29%K -41.99%G +0.000%10.88I 9.19%NM 8.55%EV -4.68%E -0.430%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.60%EV +1.17%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003%7.5%2026-10-31 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.30%E -3.38%K -15.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -8.01%E -0.763%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.70%E -0.784%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -9.57%E -7.98%K -47.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -16.62%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 00:13
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -9.57%E -7.98%K -47.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -16.62%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 00:14
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.59%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 00:15
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.59%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 23:35
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.59%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.59%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.59%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -5.80%E -4.64%K -23.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -21.15%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 23:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -5.80%E -4.64%K -23.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -21.15%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -5.80%E -4.64%K -23.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -21.15%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 23:35
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -5.80%E -4.64%K -23.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -21.15%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 23:35
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.57%E -7.98%K -47.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -21.15%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.70%E -0.784%K -0.941%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.32%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -29.91%E -3.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -15.82%E -2.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 72.16%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.24%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%13.6%2026-10-31 23:45