The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Boston United FC v Scunthorpe United

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:01 UTC

Final: Boston United FC 1–3 Scunthorpe United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston United FC (Local)

Prediction 39.25%2.55fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.33%39.41%39.08%41.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.452.4844.44%41.87%40.82%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scunthorpe United (Visit)

Prediction 36.22%2.76fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.50%36.32%36.28%38.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.482.402.7042.02%40.29%41.67%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.53%4.08fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.723%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%24.27%24.64%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.504.2029.41%27.91%28.57%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston United FC (Local): 39.25%; Scunthorpe United (Visit): 36.22%; Draw: 24.53%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.30%EV -11.69%E -5.19%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.10%EV -13.80%E -5.80%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV +3.04%E +0.723%K +0.949%G +0.029%10.3%2026-10-17 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -9.73%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV +0.582%E +0.142%K +0.188%G +0.001%5.6%2026-10-17 12:00
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -6.59%E -2.77%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -2.21%E -0.819%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.32%EV -9.33%E -4.04%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -2.21%E -0.819%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-16 20:59
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.84%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.84%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.27%E -4.60%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:59
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.69%E -5.19%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.64%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 13:34
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -7.64%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -10.46%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.59%E -2.77%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -11.27%E -4.60%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.68%E -3.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -9.73%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.68%E -3.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-17 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.69%E -5.19%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.14%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 13:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.69%E -5.19%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.14%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 13:05
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.69%E -5.19%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.14%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.69%E -5.19%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.14%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:49
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:49
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:49
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:50
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 03:50
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -9.73%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -13.80%E -5.80%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -16.59%E -4.88%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.