The School of Odds
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Boreham Wood FC v Woking FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Boreham Wood FC 3–2 Woking FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boreham Wood FC (Local)

Prediction 69.26%1.44fair odd
EV -5.81%
Edge -4.27%
Kelly -16.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.05%69.57%69.02%71.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.341.3678.74%75.03%74.63%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Woking FC (Visit)

Prediction 13.15%7.61fair odd
EV +9.13%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 8.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.03%12.88%13.35%15.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.526.008.3017.39%15.34%16.67%12.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.60%5.68fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.90%17.55%17.62%18.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.075.005.5020.41%19.71%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boreham Wood FC (Local): 69.26%; Woking FC (Visit): 13.15%; Draw: 17.60%. For Woking FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.61. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.53%EV -11.35%E -8.87%K -40.54%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.03%EV +9.13%E +1.10%K +1.25%G +0.114%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.62%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:20
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.53%EV -11.35%E -8.87%K -40.54%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.03%EV +9.13%E +1.10%K +1.25%G +0.114%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.62%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.97%E -7.67%K -33.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +5.19%E +0.648%K +0.741%G +0.038%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.717%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:20
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.97%E -7.67%K -33.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +5.19%E +0.648%K +0.741%G +0.038%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.717%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:15
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.23%EV -12.04%E -9.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.38%EV +4.53%E +0.570%K +0.651%G +0.029%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.40%EV -8.50%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.66%E -8.26%K -36.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.39%E -0.185%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -7.62%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -8.50%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -10.66%E -8.26%K -36.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -11.25%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.23%E -0.587%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:30
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.68%EV -9.27%E -7.08%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -11.25%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 13:15
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -9.97%E -7.67%K -33.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -7.62%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -7.20%E -5.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -17.82%E -2.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -6.74%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.11%E -3.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:30
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.11%E -3.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:30
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.11%E -3.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.11%E -3.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.02%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:30
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.05%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -24.40%E -4.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.