Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bootle FC v Northwich Victoria FC

2026-08-26 18:45 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bootle FC (Local)

Prediction 56.08%1.78fair odd
EV -6.35%
Edge -3.80%
Kelly -9.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.89%56.08%56.08%56.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.661.6762.50%60.58%60.24%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwich Victoria FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.63%4.62fair odd
EV -6.35%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.63%21.63%21.63%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.034.244.304.3324.81%23.57%23.26%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.30%4.48fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%22.30%22.30%22.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.194.254.2525.00%23.89%23.53%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bootle FC (Local): 56.08%; Northwich Victoria FC (Visit): 21.63%; Draw: 22.30%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.25, with an expected value of -5.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 06:53
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.35%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 06:52
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.89%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 22.75%EV -12.84%E -3.19%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-26 04:09
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:55
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:55
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:55
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:54
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.91%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.24%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 04:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.28%E -6.42%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 04:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.28%E -6.42%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.33%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 04:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.