The School of Odds
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Bootle FC v Northwich Victoria FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bootle FC (Local)

Prediction 58.20%1.72fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.85%58.20%58.20%58.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.661.7065.36%61.24%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwich Victoria FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.71%5.07fair odd
EV -6.35%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.61%19.71%19.71%22.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.374.354.7524.39%22.88%22.99%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.09%4.53fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%22.09%22.09%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.154.204.3625.32%24.11%23.81%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bootle FC (Local): 58.20%; Northwich Victoria FC (Visit): 19.71%; Draw: 22.09%. For Bootle FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.87%EV -1.06%E -0.625%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -16.21%E -3.81%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -3.70%E -0.849%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 18:44
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -2.23%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.31%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:43
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:10
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:10
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -17.20%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-26 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.35%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 18:44
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.35%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 18:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -19.17%E -4.68%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 04:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -6.88%E -4.30%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -19.17%E -4.68%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 04:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -9.79%E -6.32%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -10.30%E -2.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-26 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.96%E -7.16%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -17.20%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-26 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.