Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bedford Town FC v Wingate and Finchley FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bedford Town FC (Local)

Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV -5.88%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -9.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.62%58.09%57.89%59.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.551.6265.36%63.96%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wingate and Finchley FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.44%4.89fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.64%20.59%20.39%22.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.354.6525.00%22.86%22.99%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.448%
Kelly +0.567%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%21.32%21.72%22.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.204.7625.00%23.58%23.81%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bedford Town FC (Local): 58.10%; Wingate and Finchley FC (Visit): 20.44%; Draw: 21.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.76, producing a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.81%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -8.00%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.02%EV +2.13%E +0.448%K +0.567%G +0.012%5.0%2026-10-03 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -7.62%E -4.79%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -8.00%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +1.92%E +0.403%K +0.511%G +0.010%6.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +1.92%E +0.403%K +0.511%G +0.010%7.0%2026-10-03 12:15
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.45%E -0.766%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 11:08
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -13.12%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -8.20%E -5.19%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -12.09%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:05
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -11.07%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.00%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.81%EV -8.20%E -5.19%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.64%EV -4.94%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55%EV -13.10%E -3.24%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.81%EV -8.20%E -5.19%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.64%EV -4.94%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55%EV -13.10%E -3.24%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -8.00%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -9.94%E -6.42%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.48%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.