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Bedford Town FC v Wingate and Finchley FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bedford Town FC (Local)
Prediction 58.28%1.72fair odd
EV -6.18%
Edge -3.84%
Kelly -10.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.62%58.25%58.13%59.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.551.6165.36%64.01%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wingate and Finchley FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.75%20.64%20.53%22.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.354.6525.00%22.82%22.99%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.21%4.72fair odd
EV +0.942%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%21.11%21.34%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.254.204.7625.00%23.50%23.81%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bedford Town FC (Local): 58.28%; Wingate and Finchley FC (Visit): 20.52%; Draw: 21.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.942%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.13%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.88%EV -6.44%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV +0.942%E +0.198%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -7.34%E -4.62%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.67%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.730%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +0.730%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.67%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -11.77%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.75%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -11.16%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -10.84%E -7.08%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -9.72%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.93%E -4.48%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.12%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75%EV -4.59%E -0.988%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -11.99%E -2.89%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.12%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75%EV -4.59%E -0.988%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -11.99%E -2.89%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -7.67%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -7.67%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.84%E -7.08%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.