The School of Odds
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Bedford Town FC v Cray Wanderers FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Bedford Town FC 0–0 Cray Wanderers FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bedford Town FC (Local)

Prediction 58.34%1.71fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.43%58.47%58.34%59.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.551.6566.67%64.08%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cray Wanderers FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.47%4.88fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.457%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.36%20.50%20.47%22.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.014.384.354.8024.94%22.83%22.99%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.18%4.72fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.25%21.02%21.18%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.204.5025.00%23.66%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bedford Town FC (Local): 58.34%; Cray Wanderers FC (Visit): 20.47%; Draw: 21.18%. For Cray Wanderers FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 13:54
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.43%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 22.53%EV -17.91%E -4.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -1.74%E -0.362%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -8.27%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:50
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 13:54
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -10.15%E -6.59%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:54
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%EV -10.15%E -6.59%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.73%E -7.01%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.48%E -8.32%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.