Language:English
Barton Town FC v Chorley FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barton Town FC (Local)
Prediction 15.96%6.26fair odd
EV +4.57%
Edge +0.698%
Kelly +0.823%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 6.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.54%15.83%15.96%17.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.585.506.5519.61%17.93%18.18%15.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chorley FC (Visit)
Prediction 65.73%1.52fair odd
EV -5.35%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -12.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.15%65.84%65.73%67.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.48%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.30%5.46fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.09%18.33%18.30%19.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.794.605.4022.22%20.90%21.74%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barton Town FC (Local): 15.96%; Chorley FC (Visit): 65.73%; Draw: 18.30%. For Barton Town FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.55%EV +4.57%E +0.698%K +0.823%G +0.038% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.10%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.36%EV -5.01%E -0.965%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.54%EV -1.82%E -0.295%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.23%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.23%EV -14.89%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 12:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.21%E -0.702%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -3.91%E -0.745%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -4.21%E -0.702%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -17.64%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -8.20%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.16%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.48%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -10.60%E -1.89%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.94%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -1.16%E -0.216%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.17%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.17%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.17%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.17%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -18.58%E -3.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.15%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -2.99%E -0.565%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.