Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley v Aldershot Town FC

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

73%

10%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley (Local)

Prediction 73.44%1.36fair odd

EV -5.26%

Edge -4.08%

Kelly -18.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.09%73.22%73.37%74.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.00%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aldershot Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 10.29%9.72fair odd

EV +2.86%

Edge +0.286%

Kelly +0.318%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.37%10.50%10.23%13.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.508.729.0010.0015.38%11.47%11.11%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.27%6.15fair odd

EV -0.096%

Edge -0.016%

Kelly -0.019%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.76%16.28%16.40%18.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.395.136.1420.00%18.56%19.51%16.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barnsley (Local): 73.44%; Aldershot Town FC (Visit): 10.29%; Draw: 16.27%. For Aldershot Town FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.72. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.46%E -5.92%K -28.70%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.44%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 23:30
William Hill🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.20%E -6.56%K -32.79%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.64%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-31 23:30
888sport🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.20%E -6.56%K -32.79%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.64%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-31 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.20%E -6.56%K -32.79%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.64%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-31 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.20%E -6.56%K -32.79%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.64%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-31 23:34
1xBet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.14%EV -7.46%E -5.92%K -28.70%G +0.000%	9.20I 10.87%NM 10.15%EV -5.36%E -0.583%K -0.654%G +0.000%	5.95I 16.81%NM 15.70%EV -3.19%E -0.536%K -0.644%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.26%E -4.08%K -18.14%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.44%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-01 01:05
Bet Victor🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 73.10%EV -10.40%E -8.52%K -47.27%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -14.58%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-31 23:30
betfred_uk🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.40%E -8.52%K -47.27%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.64%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-10-31 23:35
betano_uk🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.20%E -6.56%K -32.79%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.56%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -18.64%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-11-01 01:04
Pinnacle🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.79%EV -7.46%E -5.92%K -28.70%G +0.000%	8.40I 11.90%NM 11.07%EV -13.59%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000%	6.14I 16.29%NM 15.14%EV -0.096%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-31 23:30
Coral🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -5.99%E -4.68%K -21.41%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.85%E -3.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.64%E -3.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-11-01 00:55
Betway🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -10.40%E -8.52%K -47.27%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -27.99%E -4.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -2.37%E -0.396%K -0.475%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-10-31 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 70.81%EV -8.93%E -7.20%K -37.21%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -33.14%E -5.10%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -8.88%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-10-31 23:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.